Surprised-Ingredient
0x06ab4493e33a0314c06b1da00a2029acd136ee5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$15.3K
Total PnL
$370.85
Realised
$437.99
Win rate
73%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
3424 shares @ 85.6¢·now 86.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.9K
$18.97
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
3000 shares @ 84.8¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.5K
$-9.99
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
2266 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.2K
$24.54
- NO
US military draft authorized in 2026?
2220 shares @ 87.6¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$8.38
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
2200 shares @ 57.6¢·now 58.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.3K
$9.42
- NO
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
721 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$710.05
$10.39
- NO
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
720 shares @ 78.9¢·now 77.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$558.00
$-10.20
- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
540 shares @ 89.1¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$483.30
$2.30
- NO
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
733 shares @ 46.3¢·now 61.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$447.33
$107.86
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
461 shares @ 82.3¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$423.96
$44.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?$1.17Jun 14, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?$28.05Jun 14, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?$50.26Jun 14, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?$6.56Jun 14, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$5.63Jun 14, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$156.26Jun 14, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$102.64Jun 14, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$137.53Jun 14, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$23.40Jun 14, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$445.00Jun 14, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$41.73Jun 14, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$66.23Jun 14, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$158.00Jun 14, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$160.00Jun 14, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?$58.25Jun 14, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$345.20Jun 14, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?$81.13Jun 14, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$172.00Jun 14, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$6.58Jun 14, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$160.20Jun 14, 10:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $87.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 12:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 17:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.