Surprised-Gun
0x06adb3c4333d634fc52bd9fcaaaee9d172c551ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$9.10
Total PnL
$-9.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.99
$-0.00
- YES
Will T1 make a roster change before July?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.57
$-0.43
- OVER
CD Los Chankas vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 4.5
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will CD Ñublense win on 2026-05-17?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 18?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- OVER
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5
8 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?$1.00May 20, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?$4.99May 20, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 20, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$1.00May 19, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.00May 18, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill T1 make a roster change before July?$1.00May 18, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 18?$1.00May 18, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5$25.30May 18, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)$2.50May 18, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5$2.38May 17, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 17?$1.13May 17, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$1.00May 17, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Ñublense win on 2026-05-17?$1.00May 17, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYCD Los Chankas vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 4.5$0.01May 17, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCD Los Chankas vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 4.5$0.99May 17, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5$1.33May 17, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5$0.24May 17, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5$2.25May 17, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5$2.47May 17, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5$2.47May 17, 21:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 21:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 06:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".