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OtherExpires Jun 30, 2026

Will T1 make a roster change before July?

Probability

35¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$228.98

Probability (last 7 days)

+12.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:18
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1569h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 59.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1568.7h

    LOW
  • 15:18Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 1569h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves T1's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the T1 Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/T1) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: Doran, Oner, Faker, Peyz, and Keria. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/T1News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (59.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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