Carefree-Hugger
0x06c3d9e24e3189c28d7f8b1043fc97077ee9ec62
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$7.55
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
2157 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.55
$-32.45
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
40296 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
2209 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on April 19, 2026?
1390 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
1370 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
1019 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
962 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-38.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on April 26?
703 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-19.03
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
690 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$103.61May 12, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$20.79Apr 28, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?$36.58Apr 26, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?$51.94Apr 26, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?$31.08Apr 26, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$10.00Apr 25, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on April 26?$20.00Apr 25, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 26?$20.00Apr 25, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?$20.00Apr 25, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?$20.00Apr 25, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?$20.00Apr 25, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?$10.00Apr 24, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$20.00Apr 24, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$10.00Apr 21, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$10.00Apr 21, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$250.00Apr 13, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$19.10Apr 10, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$157.89Apr 10, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$41.29Apr 10, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$0.79Apr 10, 14:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $112.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 13:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 11:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".