Winding-Chronicle
0x06c85e78b7d396b98018c70289759c5438f8d39c
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.07
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$148.97
Win rate
70%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
11 shares @ 9.4¢·now 7.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on February 7?
757 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-63.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?
609 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-185.00
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.10 February 2-8?
478 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 7?
397 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
354 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 21?
306 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?
220 shares @ 29.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?$0.38May 14, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?$0.45May 14, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?$1.07May 11, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?$1.07May 11, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?$1.06May 11, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$1.07May 11, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?$1.07May 11, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$1.06May 11, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?$1.07Apr 29, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3?$1.07Apr 29, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?$1.06Apr 29, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?$1.06Apr 29, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?$1.00Apr 27, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3?$3.00Apr 27, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 20?$1.00Apr 15, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 20?$1.00Apr 15, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Apr 15, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 16?$1.00Apr 14, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 16?$1.00Apr 14, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 19?$1.00Apr 14, 06:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 00:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 14:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".