Primary-Shark
0x06cbff2dbaffb506b5d20eee080507c299cb622c
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$60.00
Total PnL
$-115.47
Realised
$-40.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
60 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$60.00
$24.60
- YES
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 26, 2026?
119 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-26.24
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA dip to $156 in February?
52 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.57
- NO
Will Brett M. Kavanaugh attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
40 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
36 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-19.13
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
21 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Mitch McConnell attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
20 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- YES
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 23 above $5.50?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Charlie Kirk" during the State of the Union address?
20 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$0.88Mar 6, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.17Mar 6, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$0.83Mar 5, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$0.66Mar 5, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$0.24Mar 5, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≤2.1%?$0.39Mar 4, 16:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$5.00Mar 4, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$2.05Mar 3, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.60Mar 2, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$5.00Mar 2, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.40Mar 2, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$1.05Mar 2, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.60Mar 1, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$5.00Mar 1, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.50Feb 28, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$0.75Feb 28, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$11.40Feb 27, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$11.80Feb 27, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$9.20Feb 27, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$1.83Feb 27, 21:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 21:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 14:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.