Reasonable-War
0x06f347c1a29a28848a97ee141fbb58aa06ffcb71
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.60
Total PnL
$-212.32
Realised
$0.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 6.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.60
$-1.45
- YES
Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with pure water?
436 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?
83 shares @ 60.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Khamenei" during WEF Address on January 21?
60 shares @ 83.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?
53 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
45 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Wales win?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
27 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.62
- YES
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?
26 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCallum Turner announced as next James Bond?$2.05Mar 5, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wales win?$1.00Feb 15, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SS Lazio win on 2026-02-08?$5.00Feb 8, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus FC win on 2026-02-08?$10.00Feb 8, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?$5.00Feb 8, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?$6.44Feb 8, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?$2.54Feb 8, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-08?$3.00Feb 8, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-08?$5.00Feb 8, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-08?$4.08Feb 8, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?$2.09Feb 8, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?$2.00Feb 8, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$0.13Feb 8, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.00Feb 8, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.00Feb 8, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$5.00Feb 8, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$5.00Feb 8, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-07?$2.63Feb 7, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?$2.00Feb 7, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-08?$2.00Feb 7, 20:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 11:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 04:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.