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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 30, 2026

Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?

Probability

20¢

1h

+0.5pp

24h

-3.0pp

24h Vol

$64.74

Liquidity

$4.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+2.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:54
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 3pp over 24h

    Now 20¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1571h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $4.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1571.1h

    LOW
  • 12:54Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 1571h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).