0x071a1c56cfc7b52c2141c6ec170610d8de9bfc34
0x071a1c56cfc7b52c2141c6ec170610d8de9bfc34
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$13.14
Total PnL
$0.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 47.2¢·now 63.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.36
$0.86
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 41.6¢·now 41.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 58.2¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.80
$-0.01
- YES
Will Juventus win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp May 30, 2027$1.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 30, 2027$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
3 shares @ 31.1¢·now 30.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.10Jul 16, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.04Jul 15, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.15Jul 15, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$0.00Jul 15, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 15, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$2.22Jul 15, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.88Jul 15, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$2.05Jul 12, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1.03Jul 12, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?$0.00Jul 12, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Argentina (-1.5)$1.41Jul 12, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: O/U 2.5$2.22Jul 12, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$0.00Jul 12, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?$1.03Jul 11, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?$2.09Jul 11, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?$1.05Jul 11, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$2.07Jul 11, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spain (-1.5)$1.52Jul 10, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5$4.48Jul 10, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLNorway vs. England: O/U 2.5$2.45Jul 10, 21:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 21:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 08:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.