Extra-Large-Compassion
0x071c5ae4baa5de02260c43d98ccb27a1a597489d
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$410.47
Total PnL
$-65.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
513 shares @ 77.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$397.56
$2.57
- YES
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 The Open Championship?
169 shares @ 2.9¢·now 4.7¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$7.94
$2.94
- YES
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 The Open Championship?
85 shares @ 5.9¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?
359 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.10
- YES
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?
100 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
- NO
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31?
75 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-39.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$145.00Jul 16, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$250.00Jul 16, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 The Open Championship?$5.24Jul 15, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 The Open Championship?$5.24Jul 15, 21:46 UTC
- REWARD$0.15Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$405.71Jun 7, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$374.10Jun 3, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$374.08Jun 2, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$347.00May 31, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?$5.70Apr 6, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$352.74Mar 28, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$313.06Mar 23, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$313.06Mar 20, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$291.22Mar 20, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$109.58Mar 18, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$100.00Mar 17, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$281.64Mar 16, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$240.86Mar 8, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Siversk by November 30?$107.69Nov 23, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Siversk by November 30?$1.00Nov 23, 10:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $205.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 8, 21:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 06:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.