False-Rhythm
0x0725e4066e3cda9b46388129c494310617f7b1a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$14.91
Total PnL
$-44.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
15 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.91
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on October 29?
16328 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-32.66
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on October 29?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-10.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?$14.90Jul 20, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?$14.92Jul 1, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?$14.80Jun 13, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill a hurricane form by May 31?$14.75Jun 13, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane form by May 31?$14.53May 14, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?$14.59May 14, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?$14.43Mar 22, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$14.43Mar 22, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$14.24Feb 15, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$14.24Feb 15, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$13.39Jan 28, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: November$12.79Jan 28, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: November$11.00Nov 21, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,800 and $3,900 on November 6?$111.49Nov 9, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,800 and $3,900 on November 6?$111.38Nov 6, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on November 4?$111.38Nov 6, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on November 4?$111.27Nov 4, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $4,200 and $4,300 on November 3?$111.27Nov 4, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $4,200 and $4,300 on November 3?$111.16Nov 3, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $150 on November 2?$111.16Nov 3, 05:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $85.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 6, 01:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 11:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.