Normal-Hit
0x0753143238affe972166ed60030c66af2f94c6aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$612.43
Total PnL
$-8.6K
Realised
$7.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
32233 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$612.43
$-107.21
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
16899 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-61.99
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
12556 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
11500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
9801 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-71.99
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
6764 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
5192 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-97.33
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
4398 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-247.86
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
3999 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-434.79
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.