Wordy-Representation-Calcification
0x07634036c7c45e24b984e9f9c73052b479876d79
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-885.13
Realised
$-27.14
Win rate
0%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
4000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 0 Portugal?
1390 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 3 Colombia?
789 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?
762 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?
695 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Paraguay?
606 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?
600 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals
465 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?
417 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$10.50Jul 19, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?$15.69Jul 19, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?$10.48Jul 19, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$15.71Jul 19, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?$15.73Jul 19, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Any Other Score?$71.43Jul 18, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 3 England?$8.39Jul 18, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$10.43Jul 18, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$15.75Jul 15, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$5.17Jul 15, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina?$10.48Jul 15, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?$15.73Jul 15, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?$15.69Jul 14, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$20.68Jul 14, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?$31.43Jul 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Half$15.59Jul 14, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?$15.68Jul 14, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland?$5.24Jul 11, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$20.83Jul 11, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Belgium?$26.16Jul 10, 15:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 42 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
42 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $19.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 06:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.