Blond-Eagle
0x0770286b62c7570c25a075eef381877255e5ef9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$253.33
Total PnL
$-31.19
Realised
$31.20
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?
145 shares @ 76.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$106.58
$-3.63
- YES
Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?
550 shares @ 11.1¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2027$52.25
$-8.75
- YES
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
96 shares @ 16.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.75
$1.44
- YES
Will Mikel Brown Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp May 31, 2027$12.40
$-7.60
- YES
Will the Washington Wizards be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?
255 shares @ 5.8¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2027$11.50
$-3.20
- YES
Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
50 shares @ 29.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$11.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the Detroit Pistons be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?
100 shares @ 8.5¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2027$8.50
$0.00
- YES
Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
40 shares @ 19.9¢·now 21.0¢·exp May 31, 2027$8.40
$0.44
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?
50 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2027$6.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$6.50
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$12.46Aug 13, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?$19.00Aug 12, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?$3.80Aug 12, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$0.87Aug 12, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$0.80Aug 12, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$0.19Aug 12, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$14.50Aug 12, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$6.40Aug 12, 10:38 UTC
- REWARD$1.45Aug 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$0.80Aug 11, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$5.30Aug 11, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$0.32Aug 11, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$0.32Aug 11, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Denver Nuggets be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?$2.41Aug 11, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$0.32Aug 11, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?$3.95Aug 11, 00:03 UTC
- REWARD$1.15Aug 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?$15.20Aug 10, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?$76.00Aug 10, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$16.20Aug 9, 17:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $8.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 15:49 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 11:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.