Blond-Eagle
0x0770286b62c7570c25a075eef381877255e5ef9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$80.87
Total PnL
$-13.62
Realised
$25.66
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 13.2¢·now 9.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.70
$-6.70
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2551 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.13
$-16.58
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 10.8¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.50
$-10.19
- YES
Will the Denver Nuggets be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?
107 shares @ 6.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.13
$2.69
- YES
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$8.30
$-1.70
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
387 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.67
$-8.31
- YES
Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
18 shares @ 14.9¢·now 19.0¢·exp May 31, 2027$3.34
$0.72
- YES
Will the Detroit Pistons be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?
30 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2027$2.58
$0.45
- YES
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
100 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$2.35
$0.05
- YES
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?
14 shares @ 6.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.16
$0.29
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?$1.92Jul 2, 01:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$4.27Jul 2, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?$0.35Jul 1, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?$0.70Jul 1, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?$0.45Jul 1, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?$0.08Jul 1, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?$0.54Jul 1, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?$20.40Jul 1, 06:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.27Jul 1, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Timberwolves be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?$0.87Jun 29, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Nuggets be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?$3.57Jun 29, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Nuggets be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?$0.48Jun 29, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$73.21Jun 29, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Nuggets be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?$1.80Jun 29, 03:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:17 UTC
- REWARD$2.99Jun 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Nuggets be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?$0.60Jun 28, 22:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $13.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 23:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 01:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.