Legal-Champagne
0x077925a11b057ad983a313e351ebfb9d7b0213bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$133.07
Total PnL
$-9.2K
Realised
$-4.4K
Win rate
0%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
133 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$133.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?
2753 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-8.26
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?
1733 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 20?
928 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-236.09
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 8?
842 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-215.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 11?
817 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-208.23
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 11?
817 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-208.23
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 3?
814 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-207.91
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 4?
780 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-198.76
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?
778 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-200.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$133.00Aug 11, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$8.33Aug 11, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?$124.12Aug 11, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?$124.01Jul 18, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$5.10Jul 18, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?$129.13Jul 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?$129.01Jun 30, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yoo Dong-soo win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$12.11Jun 30, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill ByteDance have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$13.75Jun 30, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C or higher on May 31?$13.78Jun 30, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$90.19Jun 30, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$90.11May 31, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$90.10May 31, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$90.02May 30, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$89.90May 30, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$90.00May 30, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C or higher on May 31?$13.74May 30, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals$7.73May 30, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$110.88May 30, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$111.00May 30, 06:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 35 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
35 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $93.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 07:21 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 06:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.