Feisty-Lid
0x077bb4f3a9e55529e094a707f8752cb2c54efd8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$49.20
Total PnL
$1.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
37 shares @ 10.9¢·now 20.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.62
$3.62
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
10 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$5.95
$-0.05
- YES
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$5.68
$0.68
- YES
Netherlands to score first vs. Morocco?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
65 shares @ 7.7¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 19.1¢·now 22.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.61
$0.61
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 31.8¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.54
$-1.46
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$3.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$2.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
7 shares @ 46.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.84
$-0.16
Recent activity
- REDEEMEnzo Fernández: 1+ goals$0.00Jun 28, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMCristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals$0.00Jun 28, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMJulián Álvarez: 1+ goals$0.00Jun 28, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$0.00Jun 28, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLLionel Messi: 1+ goals$15.13Jun 28, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$5.87Jun 28, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina leading at halftime? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$7.59Jun 28, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$10.00Jun 28, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$1.06Jun 28, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$0.00Jun 28, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$1.07Jun 28, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$0.00Jun 28, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMBruno Fernandes: 1+ goals$0.00Jun 28, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMJoão Félix: 1+ goals$0.00Jun 28, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMColombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score$0.00Jun 28, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMMohamed Salah: 1+ goals$0.00Jun 28, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$0.00Jun 28, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$0.00Jun 28, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$0.00Jun 28, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$0.00Jun 28, 02:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $3.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 02:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 07:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.