Esteemed-Eggnog
0x07aaa6537c07599e0bd5576db0d951f102fa4140
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$1.54
Total PnL
$-17.78
Realised
$6.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- NO
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 14?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jorge Nieto finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
207 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jacob Chiara win the 2026 Ohio Governor Democratic primary election?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Putin visit China by May 31?$2.19May 8, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.89Apr 22, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 15, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$1.00Apr 15, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLViktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?$2.00Apr 15, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1.00Apr 14, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30?$1.00Apr 14, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?$1.87Apr 14, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.00Apr 14, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.00Apr 14, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$1.99Apr 14, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Apr 14, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Apr 14, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$1.80Apr 14, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Apr 14, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?$1.00Apr 14, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$1.88Apr 14, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 14?$1.00Apr 14, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?$1.00Apr 14, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLHungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?$1.61Apr 14, 09:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 05:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.