GeopoliticsExpires May 31, 2026

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Probability

87¢

+0.0pp

24h

-3.0pp

24h Vol

$3.9K

Liquidity

$35.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

-4.5pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 11:17

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 852.7h
LOW
11:18Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 853h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
09:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 87¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 87¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 87¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 87¢
MEDIUM
04:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 87¢
MEDIUM
23:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 86¢
MEDIUM
21:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 86¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 86¢
MEDIUM
19:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 86¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 3.0pp
to 90¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Category · Geopolitics

Market Description

If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: May 31, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Binary

No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

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