Trivial-Manager
0x07d9caf4513db83887ad7798b0738de50e5a8508
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$47.82
Total PnL
$-658.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$27.03
$17.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 30?
11 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.55
$0.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 30?
10 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 27-Jan 3?
748 shares @ 66.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
115 shares @ 43.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
46 shares @ 43.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
32 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
28 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 16?
25 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 30?$10.01Apr 29, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 30?$10.03Apr 29, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?$10.31Apr 29, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$1.43Apr 29, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$5.23Apr 29, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$11.73Apr 29, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$10.33Apr 29, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$10.63Apr 29, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$8.88Apr 29, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$10.02Apr 29, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have 190mm or more of precipitation in April?$0.06Apr 29, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$5.86Apr 17, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$5.00Apr 17, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$8.07Apr 17, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$5.00Apr 17, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$4.77Apr 17, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seoul have between 65-70mm of precipitation in April?$2.40Apr 16, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$7.11Apr 16, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.00Apr 15, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul have between 65-70mm of precipitation in April?$2.74Apr 15, 07:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 09:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 07:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.