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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 30, 2026

Will Seoul have between 65-70mm of precipitation in April?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-5.5pp

24h Vol

$34.42

Liquidity

$1.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

-9.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 11:00Apr 25, 2026, 10:53
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 109.1h

    LOW
  • 10:53Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 109h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 10:53Price

    Probability down -19.0pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -15.5pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -15.0pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 07:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.5pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 17.0pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (11.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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