Will Seoul have between 65-70mm of precipitation in April?
Probability
7¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-5.5pp
24h Vol
$34.42
Liquidity
$1.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
-9.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 109.1h
- 10:53SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 109h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 10:53PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 7¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 7¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 7¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 6¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 12¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 11¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 12¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 12¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 12¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 11¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 11¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 12¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 24¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 27¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 25¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 27¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 21¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (11.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).