Easy-Going-Nudge
0x07edac7df6541309f9a7254b6a797f268ea53bb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-274.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Israel win on 2025-10-14?
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-11-06?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
119 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-62.65
- YES
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-29?
83 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
81 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by March 31?
77 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
30 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-16.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$146.82Jul 6, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$112.65Jun 2, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$20.30Jun 2, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$92.27Jun 2, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$48.94May 10, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$51.14May 10, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 31?$20.00Mar 11, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$36.29Mar 10, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$13.77Feb 28, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$18.14Feb 28, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?$5.00Feb 22, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?$20.00Feb 7, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$10.00Feb 4, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$20.32Feb 4, 22:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?$11.98Jan 29, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-28?$17.54Jan 29, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Páfos FC win on 2026-01-28?$23.53Jan 29, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-28?$24.39Jan 29, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?$6.59Jan 28, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-28?$10.00Jan 28, 12:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $35.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 13:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 13:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.