Potable-Cassava
0x07f2e143083c4abfc2506c595c9f6fd5ad1aee29
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$522.33
Total PnL
$-215.30
Realised
$-43.07
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?
300 shares @ 49.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$184.50
$37.50
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?
710 shares @ 27.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$181.05
$-10.65
- YES
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?
180 shares @ 39.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$86.40
$16.21
- YES
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
300 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$46.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?
320 shares @ 6.7¢·now 6.6¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$20.96
$-0.46
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.9¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$2.92
$0.92
- NO
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Marco Rubio’s remarks not air?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?
373 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$49.61Aug 5, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?$150.00Aug 5, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$450.00Aug 4, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?$0.00Aug 4, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?$0.00Aug 4, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?$0.00Aug 4, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?$22.21Aug 4, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?$197.30Aug 4, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?$70.19Aug 4, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?$0.10Aug 4, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?$75.82Aug 4, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?$2.38Aug 4, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?$24.10Aug 4, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?$46.69Aug 4, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?$52.47Aug 4, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?$2.13Aug 3, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?$50.00Aug 3, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?$100.00Aug 3, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?$2.00Aug 3, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio’s remarks not air?$0.34Aug 1, 21:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $42.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 16:51 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 15:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.