Improbable-Size
0x07f8df6c9fa2095aa5094a3fc11d0a973a9234f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$202.59
Total PnL
$-222.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
263 shares @ 57.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$118.42
$-31.58
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?
129 shares @ 57.4¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.28
$-21.77
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?
1455 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.00
$-14.87
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
88 shares @ 34.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$15.88
$-14.12
- YES
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?
2791 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?
1434 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?
1092 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-37.00
- YES
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?
1086 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-43.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?$21.69Jun 12, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?$10.40Jun 12, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?$17.65Jun 12, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?$20.78Jun 12, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?$51.96Jun 12, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?$20.78Jun 12, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?$24.43Jun 12, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?$30.27Jun 11, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$150.00Jun 11, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?$45.05Jun 11, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?$10.39Jun 11, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$30.00Jun 11, 06:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $36.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 06:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 14:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.