Frightening-Inhibitor
0x081688cdfa52f2edcc3c2e56c02399314d99377a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
141
Open notional
$48.02
Total PnL
$131.79
Realised
$676.66
Win rate
80%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 141- NO
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 56.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.50
$10.50
- NO
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 55.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.52
$3.21
- YES
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.38
- NO
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
150 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
100 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will "Mortal Kombat II" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Chip" or "Ship" during Bret Baier interview?
66 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-14.63
- YES
Will Trump say "COVID" or "Pandemic" during Bret Baier interview?
61 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.91
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-27.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$29.50Jul 1, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?$19.99Jun 1, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$50.00Jun 1, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$0.14May 27, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$0.90May 27, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$50.00May 24, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$28.87May 23, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$100.00May 22, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$44.00May 22, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$12.32May 21, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$9.68May 21, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$24.00May 21, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$147.19May 21, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$17.00May 20, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$4.57May 20, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$9.43May 20, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the White House Press Secretary say "President" 30+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?$18.90May 19, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the White House Press Secretary say "Thing" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?$20.00May 19, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$10.00May 19, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$14.40May 18, 18:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
73/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 46 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
46 closed markets, 80% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $10.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 22:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 07:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 46 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.