Hilarious-Executor
0x08338a81bbd527c3a4a9005e3fb1c31d4561bc00
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$17.09
Total PnL
$-104.21
Realised
$0.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
29 shares @ 17.6¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.87
$0.71
- YES
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.40
$-0.60
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.39
$-1.61
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
215 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.04
$-5.46
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.66
$-4.34
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.55
$-4.45
- YES
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.17
$-4.83
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 3, 2026?
6315 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 19, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 24, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$5.16May 22, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$40.00May 13, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$3.21May 12, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$3.22May 12, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$64.18May 9, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?$0.49May 3, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?$1.47May 3, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?$0.49May 3, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?$0.58May 3, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?$2.42May 3, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$10.50May 3, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$13.60May 3, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 17, 2026?$1.20May 3, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 31, 2026?$0.03May 3, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 31, 2026?$0.01May 3, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 31, 2026?$0.02May 3, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 31, 2026?$0.01May 3, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 31, 2026?$0.02May 3, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 31, 2026?$0.08May 3, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 31, 2026?$0.15May 3, 18:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 18:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 17:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.