Improbable-Phone
0x0842feae82dba08ae335875f058ac4e34b384500
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$21.18
Total PnL
$-6.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
90 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.06
$-0.94
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.08
$0.08
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
45 shares @ 11.1¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.35
$-0.65
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.65
$-0.35
- OVER
Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5
9998 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- ROCKETS
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
2983 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- LAKERS
Thunder vs. Lakers
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.08Jun 8, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jun 8, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.13Jun 8, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.22Jun 8, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Cavaliers$13.33May 25, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5$18.47May 25, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$33.33May 25, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$20.24May 11, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5$10.14May 11, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$8.10May 11, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$5.12May 11, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Rockets (-8.5)$1.5KApr 24, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMRaptors vs. Pelicans$5.60Mar 16, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMRockets vs. Nuggets$5.81Mar 16, 07:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $330.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 20:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.