Monumental-Shirtdress
0x085646085178e817156d4f4e9cb804f6ea31d1a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.56
Total PnL
$-173.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
241 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.56
$-13.43
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
560 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
556 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
466 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
464 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
312 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strike on Cuba by January 31?
253 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?
148 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$5.00Apr 13, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$5.00Apr 7, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$5.00Apr 7, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$15.00Mar 16, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by March 31?$10.00Mar 16, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?$10.00Mar 16, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$10.00Mar 16, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$10.00Mar 16, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$15.00Mar 16, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$10.00Mar 16, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$5.00Mar 16, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$322.58Mar 16, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$30.00Jan 8, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jan 6, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz resign by January 31?$10.00Jan 6, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by January 31?$10.00Jan 6, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 6, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by January 9?$10.00Jan 6, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$100.00Jan 6, 13:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $15.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 13:40 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 18:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.