Massive-Defender
0x0879efd3ab29f4e8cf9b4ec785e4e55f73972f3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-22.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
33333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-99.97
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?
3880 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.88
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?
3880 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.88
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1786 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
1036 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
935 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
926 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
855 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
787 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$251.34Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?$103.59Jul 14, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.16Jul 14, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$207.84Jul 12, 17:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$138.33Jul 12, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$40.12Jul 11, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.32Jul 11, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$142.04Jul 11, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$108.63Jul 11, 20:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $97.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 16:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.