Loathsome-Signal
0x088867c28382a785742992c23b3c9cd1d73fe6e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-51.3K
Realised
$351.79
Win rate
29%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
14501 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-92.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
6000 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-195.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
6000 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-315.65
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
6000 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-230.77
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
6000 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-230.77
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
6000 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-230.77
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
6000 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-230.77
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
6000 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-230.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$6.18Jul 28, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?$11.49Jul 28, 15:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$110.27Jul 7, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$200.85Jul 7, 08:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?$3.60Jul 4, 10:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$1.48Jul 3, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$0.04Jul 3, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$0.18Jul 3, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$2.49Jul 3, 03:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 2, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?$37.57Jul 1, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?$0.64Jul 1, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?$0.79Jul 1, 10:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $28.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 15:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 15:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.