Simplistic-Wafer
0x08ae49c9ccd8e44c804b509b7f4eccb05daac4bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.32
Total PnL
$-9.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
590 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.89
$-0.29
- YES
Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
108 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$0.43
$-0.83
- YES
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Amazon be the most valuable company on October 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jorge Pinto win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
503 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
284 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Raiders Map be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
280 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Microsoft have the second best AI model on October 31?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 41°F or below on November 24?
190 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$156.81Jun 4, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$156.51Jun 3, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $50 in May?$4.14Jun 1, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?$3.23Jun 1, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?$1.05Jun 1, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$7.43Jun 1, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.32May 31, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.30May 31, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$5.41May 31, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$123.14May 31, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.30May 30, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.71May 30, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$3.71May 30, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$5.81May 30, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$122.44May 29, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMSolstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?$123.19May 26, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?$112.81May 26, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.70May 25, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$114.90May 23, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$1.05May 20, 04:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $45.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 01:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 05:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".