Cheerful-Publisher
0x08dd8b692d04848465618afb96174735e9c2568d
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$22.32
Total PnL
$0.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.90May 29, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.45May 28, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$0.73May 27, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$10.08May 26, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$12.00May 26, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?$21.69May 26, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$13.98May 26, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?$22.06May 26, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$13.50Apr 26, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$23.26Apr 26, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?$13.17Apr 26, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$23.29Apr 26, 13:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $18.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 29, 02:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.