Inferior-Cheer
0x08fff5b9a79576a7c6e18a9d05ece0658a34ba79
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$100.57
Total PnL
$-432.8K
Realised
$-59.3K
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
114 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.57
$0.57
- YES
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1532122 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.5K
- YES
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1532122 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.5K
- YES
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1532122 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.5K
- YES
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1532122 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.5K
- YES
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1532122 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-53.1K
- YES
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1419689 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-23.7K
- YES
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1419689 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-23.7K
- YES
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1419689 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-63.2K
- YES
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1419689 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-49.0K
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$20.75Jul 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$77.90Jul 15, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.64Jul 15, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.59Jul 15, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.58Jul 15, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.54Jul 15, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$64.58Jul 15, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.00Jul 15, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$34.42Jul 15, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jul 15, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27.52Jul 15, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$91.28Jul 15, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$325.96Jul 15, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$416.01Jul 15, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.50Jul 15, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jul 15, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.61Jul 15, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.42Jul 15, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$82.74Jul 15, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$98.50Jul 15, 19:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$126.8K
Trades
2
Buy share
84%
Window
May 24, 20:40 UTC → Jun 12, 18:34 UTC
- SELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.2K@5¢Jun 11, 15:35 UTC
- BUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$40.7K@100¢Jun 4, 00:05 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
84%
Sample
limited
6 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$60.9K · 48% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $61.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 19:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.