Improbable-Trader
0x091b648568ab457d0ea4a02fb7aa99faf3496396
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$125.86
Total PnL
$-408.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
14807 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$125.86
$-265.66
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
3033 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
1672 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-85.74
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
132 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-29.86
- YES
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
75 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.04May 26, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$115.75May 26, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$50.36May 26, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$98.78May 20, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$92.46May 19, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$48.40May 17, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$85.74Feb 28, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$9.00Feb 27, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$61.89Feb 19, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$75.00Feb 19, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$49.93Feb 8, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$38.84Feb 8, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLSeahawks vs. Patriots$29.00Feb 7, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYAl Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score$18.00Feb 6, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$29.86Feb 6, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$29.35Feb 6, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$10.00Feb 5, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$29.00Feb 5, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$29.87Feb 5, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMMajor cyberattack on Iran in June?$0.00Jun 27, 04:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $41.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 16:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 19:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.