Piercing-Grant
0x09276e991089bc181376e57b697eaf6ba06e3048
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
182
Open notional
$387.48
Total PnL
$-438.05
Realised
$33.09
Win rate
89%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 182- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
667 shares @ 31.6¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$203.30
$-7.36
- NO
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?
100 shares @ 79.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$88.99
$10.00
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
300 shares @ 38.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.50
$-67.50
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 35.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.50
$-14.50
- YES
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
480 shares @ 28.4¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$18.94
$-117.45
- NO
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
50 shares @ 46.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.25
$-13.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 4?
50 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.06
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
22 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
20 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$37.88Jun 6, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Partido Popular (PP) win 59-61 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.30Jun 3, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?$3.75May 30, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?$33.86May 29, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?$37.62May 29, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?$3.76May 29, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$2.10May 27, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$5.23May 19, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$5.12May 19, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$5.11May 18, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$0.26May 18, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$3.25May 18, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$1.36May 18, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$1.24May 18, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$6.58May 18, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$5.16May 18, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$5.08May 18, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$4.16May 17, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Popular (PP) win 56-58 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$6.00May 17, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Popular (PP) win 59-61 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$1.10May 17, 19:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $6.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 19:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 08:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.