Well-Off-Cupboard
0x093b795aee55b442465070427874d7b6e78cf38b
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$4.17
Total PnL
$-18.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.44
$-6.56
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 9.6¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.40
$-0.60
- YES
Will Trump deport 600-700k people?
16 shares @ 6.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.33
$-0.67
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by April 30?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the April Meeting?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$0.00Apr 1, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$0.00Apr 1, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$5.00Apr 1, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the April Meeting?$1.00Apr 1, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by April 30? $1.00Apr 1, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Apr 1, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00Apr 1, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.00Apr 1, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$8.14Apr 1, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Jose Daniel Medina vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Prelims)$0.00Apr 1, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMSt. Brieuc: Lucas Poullain vs Titouan Droguet$0.00Apr 1, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$0.00Apr 1, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMPam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$3.94Apr 1, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1.97Apr 1, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$0.00Apr 1, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Underground ESC vs Abyssal (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Playoffs$0.00Apr 1, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$0.00Apr 1, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$0.00Apr 1, 07:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 11:54 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 10:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.