Pesky-Technique
0x09705c0b0a5a7359f5c94688687fc73447e65ae4
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$478.59
Total PnL
$-8.2K
Realised
$6.4K
Win rate
58%
99 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
600 shares @ 71.3¢·now 75.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$452.04
$24.54
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
250 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$21.25
$-1.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
200 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.30
$-0.70
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 15-21?
10005 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-384.85
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 22-28?
8025 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-505.93
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14?
8000 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?
7500 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-208.59
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14?
7490 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-692.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?
6843 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 23?
6719 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-114.51
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.41Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: 9z Globant vs Maze Gaming (BO5) - LRS Playoffs AND Dota 2: YBN Team vs avice Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group B AND Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group B$10.00Jul 28, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$6.41Jul 28, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$18.19Jul 28, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$23.97Jul 28, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$23.93Jul 28, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$213.00Jul 28, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$214.50Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$607.50Jul 27, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$29.59Jul 27, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$36.99Jul 27, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 21-27?$39.96Jul 27, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$39.28Jul 26, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$42.26Jul 26, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$18.34Jul 26, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$8.66Jul 26, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?$9.60Jul 26, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$20.65Jul 26, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 21-27?$24.00Jul 26, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$3.66Jul 26, 13:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
66/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 99 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
99 closed markets, 58% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $48.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 19:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 99 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.