Wordy-Expansionism
0x0989e5592c169010355f40c0bee5f47fc0fbc570
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$49.38
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
50 shares @ 94.5¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$49.38
$2.14
- PISTONS
Pistons vs. Raptors
2900 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
2880 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- YES
Will Amazon have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
1196 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
1091 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
- YES
Will Paul Salomone be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?
1086 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
- YES
Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
835 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.84
- YES
Will Eman Alexander Cross be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?
306 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.31
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.64Jul 2, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?$50.00Jun 29, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?$1.38Jun 29, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?$1.18Jun 29, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?$3.69Jun 29, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?$42.82Jun 29, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$47.24Jun 21, 13:47 UTC
- REWARD$1.07Jun 15, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.29Jun 15, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$20.00Jun 14, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$18.93Jun 14, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$51.00Jun 2, 04:49 UTC
- MERGEWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$50.00Jun 2, 04:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?$0.48May 30, 11:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.01May 29, 02:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $27.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 21:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.