Brave-Demur
0x0991de1f9f1c53bb2710868cf5c0a6cbaf96e29a
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$68.07
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-9.73
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
230 shares @ 27.2¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.62
$-26.80
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
462 shares @ 10.8¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.24
$-34.75
- YES
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?
169 shares @ 23.6¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.96
$-31.04
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
189 shares @ 12.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.31
$-19.39
- YES
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
305 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.89
$-57.10
- YES
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
150 shares @ 20.0¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.50
$-28.50
- YES
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.54
$-9.46
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?
3061 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-368.77
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?
1619 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-136.85
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 10–20%?
1542 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-68.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 1, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?$5.00Apr 1, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 1, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$20.00Apr 1, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?$45.24Apr 1, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?$12.83Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?$10.00Mar 28, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$10.00Mar 28, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$32.83Mar 28, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?$12.70Mar 27, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?$9.99Mar 27, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?$10.00Mar 27, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 27, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?$10.00Mar 26, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?$10.00Mar 26, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$10.00Mar 26, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$20.00Mar 26, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?$10.00Mar 26, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?$10.00Mar 26, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$56.88Mar 26, 19:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $25.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 01:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 17:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.