0x09a906ef150de728d27fed373f28b52ebca745d3
0x09a906ef150de728d27fed373f28b52ebca745d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$157.26
Total PnL
$14.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10 shares @ 68.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.50
$2.97
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$8.57
$3.64
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
9 shares @ 49.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$8.05
$3.64
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
7 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$7.23
$0.16
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$6.59
$1.66
- NO
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
6 shares @ 77.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$6.45
$1.45
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
7 shares @ 73.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$5.89
$1.08
- NO
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.85
$0.89
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.82
$0.87
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
7 shares @ 32.0¢·now 78.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.71
$3.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $550 Week of June 22 2026?$4.75Jun 22, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 21, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?$4.50Jun 21, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?$5.01Jun 20, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?$4.52Jun 19, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$0.00Jun 19, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$6.59Jun 19, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?$0.00Jun 18, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?$0.00Jun 18, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$4.50Jun 18, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 18, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?$0.00Jun 17, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?$0.00Jun 17, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?$5.01Jun 17, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$8.13Jun 17, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$0.00Jun 17, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?$4.37Jun 16, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$4.98Jun 15, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?$0.00Jun 15, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?$2.44Jun 14, 23:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $3.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 16:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 01:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.