Super-Derivation
0x09aae48c98c0f54944d28f00078da5064cae0879
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$478.50
Total PnL
$-21.0K
Realised
$-7.8K
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3300 shares @ 30.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$478.50
$-511.50
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
10291 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-839.86
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
7200 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.80
- YES
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
5963 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
3679 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-471.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
1597 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-264.46
- NO
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
1559 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-997.98
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
1545 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-61.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
939 shares @ 40.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-379.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
918 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-455.94
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$2.04Jun 2, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$346.12Jun 2, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$990.00May 3, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$326.70Apr 10, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$1.61Apr 10, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$0.45Apr 10, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$0.53Apr 10, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$1.47Apr 10, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$30.10Apr 10, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$297.51Apr 10, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$380.05Apr 10, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$139.56Apr 10, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$3.50Apr 10, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$4.62Apr 10, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$21.00Apr 10, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$194.83Apr 10, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$340.65Apr 10, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$13.30Apr 9, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$27.64Apr 8, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$73.88Apr 8, 19:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $196.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 21:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 13:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.