Miserly-Armadillo
0x09ad4163d3441e2ec0c843eebaa3a1f5bb8c184e
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-1.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- AURORA
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B
660 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$660.00
$0.66
- NO
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
330 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$330.00
$3.30
- NO
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
330 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$330.00
$3.30
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% before August?
480 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
451 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.69
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of March?
280 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $128,000 on October 8?
230 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of March?$1.12Mar 28, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena reach $0.32 in March?$279.21Mar 28, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena reach $0.32 in March?$279.72Mar 28, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$326.70Mar 25, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B$659.34Mar 22, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$326.70Mar 14, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 22?$610.00Dec 12, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 22?$609.39Nov 21, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$640.00Nov 19, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Franco Parisi win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$690.00Nov 19, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$639.36Nov 11, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Parisi win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$684.48Nov 11, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 11?$249.50Nov 11, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 11?$249.75Nov 11, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$3.69Nov 1, 12:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Oct 31, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$246.75Oct 30, 07:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Oct 30, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$108.01Oct 29, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$139.49Oct 29, 09:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $270.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 13:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 10:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.