Corny-Machine
0x09b562019636ab6f85821636d6c08bf301cc8b88
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$3.5K
Total PnL
$513.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?
1000 shares @ 9.6¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$465.00
$369.28
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?
550 shares @ 81.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$453.75
$8.25
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
600 shares @ 69.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$411.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive?
375 shares @ 76.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$373.31
$85.02
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?
430 shares @ 81.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$359.05
$10.75
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?
400 shares @ 54.8¢·now 66.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$264.01
$45.00
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
325 shares @ 75.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$258.38
$14.63
- YES
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
1595 shares @ 9.3¢·now 14.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$231.28
$83.68
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?
164 shares @ 73.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$132.84
$13.12
- YES
Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?
814 shares @ 34.8¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$122.09
$-160.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$243.75Jul 22, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?$194.94Jul 22, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$414.00Jul 22, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLHaiti elections delayed again?$165.90Jul 20, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?$100.80Jul 19, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$152.95Jul 19, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 17, 00:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon anyone by July 31?$290.26Jul 15, 18:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?$3.22Jul 14, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?$45.71Jul 14, 17:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?$99.18Jul 13, 18:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive?$290.96Jul 11, 16:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?$142.83Jul 10, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the WI-01 House seat?$38.89Jul 10, 02:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $101.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 20:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 22:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.