Best-Burning
0x09b7468502481840552dc8f697b295790da08f6f
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$88.09
Total PnL
$-205.14
Realised
$-22.58
Win rate
0%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
88 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$88.09
$0.09
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
5125 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?
5000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 27?
2713 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.87
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?
2650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?
2598 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-13.59
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?
2190 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.63
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?
1746 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?$88.00Aug 11, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,200 July 6-12?$88.09Aug 11, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 July 6-12?$88.01Jul 10, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $225-$230 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?$88.09Jul 10, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $225-$230 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?$88.00Jun 26, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 30?$10.62Jun 26, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.80Jun 26, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yoo Dong-soo win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$13.75Jun 26, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$53.30Jun 26, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$53.19May 31, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)$8.32May 31, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$10.70May 30, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$5.56May 30, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$8.56May 30, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)$9.77May 30, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$78.90May 30, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$79.02May 30, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.78May 30, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$90.36May 30, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$90.27May 29, 08:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $50.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 08:02 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 07:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.