Dangerous-Mechanic
0x09bf6167bb448a80e53d2dd7c013abbd28d459f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
52
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-102.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Will the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the February decision?
510 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
144 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
115 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the February decision?
113 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the February decision?
104 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
83 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-11.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
55 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
36 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.59
- NO
Will the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the April decision?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.99Mar 9, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the April decision?$2.00Mar 9, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$1.00Mar 5, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$1.00Mar 4, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.89Mar 4, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$3.10Mar 4, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.00Mar 4, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$1.00Mar 4, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$1.00Mar 4, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$4.99Mar 1, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?$0.01Feb 25, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Iran next?$0.00Feb 20, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.29Feb 19, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$1.00Feb 19, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$2.29Feb 17, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$2.00Feb 17, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the February decision?$1.12Feb 15, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$3.11Feb 15, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$2.99Feb 15, 06:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 10:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 19:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.