Tasty-Nonbeliever
0x09d7560b2819d3327aa65a97a66e23084be02dbf
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$227.30
Win rate
88%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?
10000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-39.06
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 29?
8975 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-12.15
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $118K on July 16 at 5PM ET?
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2025$0.00
$-8.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 21 at 5PM ET?
6735 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in July?
6567 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-29.91
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 21?
6000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 December 1-7?
6000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-13.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 27?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2PM ET
5400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-11.39
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 22?
5200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-7.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$0.06Jun 12, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$4.80Jun 12, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$2.08Jun 12, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$1.05Jun 12, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?$13.00Jun 4, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$20.43May 30, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillions FDV above $300M one day after launch?$0.82May 5, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillions FDV above $300M one day after launch?$2.22May 5, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillions FDV above $300M one day after launch?$2.22May 5, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillions FDV above $300M one day after launch?$4.73May 5, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillions FDV above $300M one day after launch?$0.01May 5, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillions FDV above $200M one day after launch?$3.38May 5, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillions FDV above $200M one day after launch?$0.08May 5, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillions FDV above $200M one day after launch?$0.02May 5, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillions FDV above $200M one day after launch?$2.70May 5, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?$8.40May 1, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $8M committed to the Printr public sale?$5.70Apr 30, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $6M committed to the Printr public sale?$4.10Apr 30, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $6M committed to the Printr public sale?$3.96Apr 30, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $6M committed to the Printr public sale?$6.74Apr 30, 08:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 42 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
42 closed markets, 88% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 15:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 16:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.