Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Probability
13¢
1h
+3.1pp
24h
+0.9pp
24h Vol
$44.87
Liquidity
$17.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+5.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 14771h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 9.1¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14770.6h
- 18:24SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 14771h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+1.2pp over the last 24h, now 13¢.
Biggest hourly move: +32.9pp at 3d ago (to 40¢).
Show all 59 hour-by-hour ticks
- 17:00 · -4.3pp → 10¢
- 16:00 · -4.1pp → 10¢
- 06:00 · -9.4pp → 13¢
- 05:00 · -10.5pp → 14¢
- 03:00 · -12.5pp → 15¢
- 02:00 · -12.0pp → 15¢
- 00:00 · -18.2pp → 15¢
- 22:00 · -17.4pp → 14¢
- 20:00 · -17.5pp → 14¢
- 1d ago · -28.1pp → 12¢
- 1d ago · -27.0pp → 12¢
- 1d ago · -25.4pp → 12¢
- 1d ago · -22.5pp → 12¢
- 1d ago · -22.0pp → 12¢
- 1d ago · -22.1pp → 12¢
- 1d ago · +3.1pp → 12¢
- 1d ago · +3.6pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · +5.8pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · +5.8pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · +5.8pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · +7.8pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · +7.8pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · +6.8pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · +6.8pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · +7.6pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · +7.0pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · +7.1pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · +7.0pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · +7.1pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · +8.2pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · +8.4pp → 15¢
- 2d ago · +7.9pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · +7.4pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · +7.6pp → 14¢
- 3d ago · +8.1pp → 14¢
- 3d ago · +7.6pp → 14¢
- 3d ago · +7.2pp → 14¢
- 3d ago · +7.6pp → 13¢
- 3d ago · +7.2pp → 14¢
- 3d ago · +7.4pp → 14¢
- 3d ago · +6.7pp → 14¢
- 3d ago · +7.4pp → 14¢
- 3d ago · +7.8pp → 15¢
- 3d ago · +11.4pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · +18.9pp → 25¢
- 3d ago · +18.8pp → 26¢
- 3d ago · +20.6pp → 27¢
- 3d ago · +21.1pp → 27¢
- 3d ago · +26.6pp → 33¢
- 3d ago · +26.3pp → 33¢
- 3d ago · +24.8pp → 31¢
- 3d ago · +24.9pp → 31¢
- 3d ago · +32.9pp → 40¢
- 4d ago · +31.8pp → 39¢
- 4d ago · +31.3pp → 37¢
- 4d ago · +29.8pp → 36¢
- 4d ago · +27.9pp → 34¢
- 4d ago · +3.6pp → 10¢
- 4d ago · +3.6pp → 10¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Billion's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Billions (https://x.com/billions_ntwk) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- using the total token supply multiplied by the token priceAmbiguous wordingextracted · lowx.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (9.1¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.