Serene-Endorsement
0x09defc088e80c7ac7ede92277dcb2e6007a45a55
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$105.24
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?
100 shares @ 7.8¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.62
$6.78
- YES
Will Tim Greimel be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?
47 shares @ 19.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$10.81
$1.88
- YES
Will Esther Charlestin win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?
226 shares @ 3.3¢·now 4.6¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$10.42
$3.05
- YES
Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?
476 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$9.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will Victoria Doyle be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
586 shares @ 0.2¢·now 1.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$8.50
$7.32
- YES
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?
20 shares @ 72.1¢·now 36.6¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$7.33
$-7.09
- YES
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
20 shares @ 13.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.10
$4.50
- YES
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?
108 shares @ 0.9¢·now 5.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.16
$5.19
- YES
Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?
12 shares @ 79.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$5.76
$-3.72
- YES
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?
23 shares @ 42.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.06
$-4.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Esther Charlestin win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?$0.17Jun 2, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victoria Doyle be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?$0.08Jun 1, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victoria Doyle be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?$0.02Jun 1, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victoria Doyle be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?$0.15Jun 1, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victoria Doyle be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?$0.16Jun 1, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victoria Doyle be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?$0.67Jun 1, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Esther Charlestin win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?$0.01May 28, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Esther Charlestin win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?$3.08May 26, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$2.69May 25, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Esther Charlestin win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?$0.84May 24, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?$2.09May 23, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?$14.58May 23, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?$4.83May 22, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?$5.04May 21, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Greimel be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?$9.22May 20, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?$10.39May 20, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Esther Charlestin win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?$3.39May 20, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?$9.56May 20, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?$10.25May 20, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?$3.62May 20, 15:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $156.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 05:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 00:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.