Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
Probability
40¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$20.61
Liquidity
$25.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.0pp 7dTimeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 2735.4h
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 40¢.
Biggest hourly move: +5.5pp at 03:00 (to 40¢).
Show 8 hourly moves
- 05:00 · +4.5pp → 40¢
- 03:00 · +5.5pp → 40¢
- 1d ago · +3.5pp → 40¢
- 1d ago · +4.0pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · +3.0pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 41¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Aug 18, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryto the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in thLinkTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
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