Few-Apparel
0x09e672e5993de19f84fbd9a1cc2e298fdc5b24a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$222.02
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
561 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$498.87
$5.61
- YES
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
559 shares @ 38.9¢·now 45.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$254.50
$37.18
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
710 shares @ 43.9¢·now 30.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$213.12
$-99.09
- NO
Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.34
$2.10
- YES
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?
1696 shares @ 17.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$19.51
$-285.00
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?
129 shares @ 23.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$18.70
$-10.97
- NO
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?
777 shares @ 4.6¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.87
$-18.21
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?
3335 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-139.33
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
2130 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-333.01
- YES
Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?
1044 shares @ 80.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-843.79
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?$8.81Jul 27, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?$56.14Jul 27, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?$20.55Jul 26, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?$30.59Jul 26, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?$26.10Jul 26, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?$159.79Jul 26, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLEnhanced Breakers 1: Thor Bjornsson to Break Deadlift Record?$1.4KJul 21, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$33.75Jul 19, 22:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$56.68Jul 16, 13:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$15.69Jul 14, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$102.17Jul 14, 19:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $151.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 16:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 23:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.