Tender-Year
0x0a1cc6071c968086e5706a1a5cc6c9746bd6efaf
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-7.2K
Realised
$-2.3K
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
441086 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.5K
$-2.8K
- YES
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
63657 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$350.12
$-159.14
- YES
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
58 shares @ 75.6¢·now 66.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2026$37.96
$-5.50
- YES
Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027?
200 shares @ 12.5¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.44
$0.19
- YES
Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?
51 shares @ 15.5¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.81
$-5.12
- YES
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?
30 shares @ 16.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.25
$-2.55
- YES
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?
21 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.57
$-1.16
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027?
19 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.33
$-0.19
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027?
24 shares @ 9.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.30
$-0.92
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.17Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2027?$0.73Jul 24, 13:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.